![]() But another is because, when it started, few people expected the war to last this long. ![]() One reason is because areas in the west of Ukraine and around the capital, Kyiv, are perceived to be relatively safe – at least at the moment. The pace of returns increased considerably in late May and continued to rise through the end of June, although at a slower rate, according to the humanitarian data initiative REACH. But since mid-April, the numbers entering Ukraine have slightly outpaced those exiting. Thousands of Ukrainian refugees continue to arrive in the EU on a daily basis – including an increasing number of people from areas now occupied by Russia. Read more → With focus on refugees, no end in sight for Ukraine’s internally displaced Intense fighting is raging in the eastern Donbas region, and Russian bombing and shelling frequently hits civilian targets in other parts of the country. Meanwhile, experts say the war is turning into a protracted conflict that could potentially drag on for years. “Everyone is still struggling a little bit to know where everybody is,” Brighton said. And an increasing number of people appear to be travelling back and forth between the EU and Ukraine to visit family or their homes, making it difficult to tell how many new refugees are leaving Ukraine and how many people are going back for good. Some people who went to other EU countries are starting to come back to Poland, either to stay there or to return to Ukraine. Some Ukrainians have remained in Poland without registering, but others travelled further into the EU, Neil Brighton, the Poland country director for the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC), told The New Humanitarian.Īt the train station in Przemyśl, Poland, people wait to board a long-delayed train to return to Ukraine on 25 June.įrom there, according to Brighton, the picture gets even more complicated. In Poland – which has recorded some 4.6 million border crossings from Ukraine since Russia’s invasion began, by far the most of any neighbouring country – around 1.2 million people have registered for Temporary Protection. Of the 5.8 million estimated refugees, 1.6 million have entered the Russian Federation, where UN agencies have limited visibility about what happens next and 3.6 million have registered for protection in the EU, where the activation of a never-before-used Temporary Protection Directive has paved the way for people fleeing the war to stay legally for up to three years. But behind that topline figure is a complex and blurry picture of a crisis still taking shape. In the four and a half months since Russia began its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the refugee crisis sparked by the war has quickly become one of the largest in the world, with more than 5.8 million people said to be displaced from the country to other parts of Europe.
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